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The Ukraine Situation

A place to chat and discuss everything and anything thats NOT Military Aviation related. No Civilian Aviation content please. We would be grateful for such inclusions on our sister site - Civilian Aviation.
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plmc135
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Re: The Ukraine Situation

Post by plmc135 » Wed Sep 21, 2022 7:26 am

slogen51 wrote:
Tue Sep 20, 2022 10:07 pm
It is a bit late at night to think of a thoughtful reply but I have to say I don't agree with anything in the above post.

I think you are saying let the bully win because we can't afford the price?

I believe Ukrainian people will fight to the last man to save a scrap of Ukraine territory. If we don't help where will it end? Latvia or Estonia or perhaps Finland is there for the taking .

Oh yes what about the mass graves! Shall we just forget about them or Malaysian Flight 17 from Amsterdam?
I think you are forgetting the role of Ukraine in WW2. They were staunchly pro Nazi, Putin said at the beginning his aim was to de-nazify Ukraine, and were involved in many of the atrocities carried out at that time. Ukrainian PoW camp guards had a dreadful reputation.

I am not saying in any way that I support Putin but the past may make people realise why people in the Donbas and Crimea wish to be Russian rather than Ukrainian.

slogen51
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Re: The Ukraine Situation

Post by slogen51 » Wed Sep 21, 2022 7:38 am

But I don't think you can punish them for the sins of their fathers? There are several European countries in the same category.

I thought perhaps that man would spin the story that they have ' purged' the Nazis influence from Eastern Ukraine so mission accomplished and spin that story to Russians as a face saving victory maybe

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steamy
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Re: The Ukraine Situation

Post by steamy » Wed Sep 21, 2022 7:44 am

Craig wrote:
Tue Sep 20, 2022 9:11 pm
plmc135 wrote:
Fri Sep 02, 2022 7:33 am
The time has come for Governments to stop these massive arms deliveries to Ukraine and attempt to get the two factions together to sort this mess out. In addition to the Ukrainian populous, we are the ones who are paying the penalty for this and so long as we are arming Ukraine this conflict will continue at our personal expense.

Time to put pressure on the UN to act, they have hardly been mentioned all through. This must be stopped a.s.a.p. and it will only be done by talking.
Absolutely, this war is going to be fought until the last dead Ukrainian though unfortunately.

Giving then weapons and encouraging them to launch counteroffensives against the Russian held parts of the country will not change anything about the outcome of the situation, other than bring about the deaths of many people and perhaps anger the Russians to take the gloves off.

Like I have said before, and I am not supporting them - far from it, just trying to look at things logically; the Russians are not even at war with Ukraine.

What the Kharkov counteroffensive did achieve was a very limited retaliation from the Russians with missiles launched from the Black Sea and Caspian which took out power and water to half of Ukraine. It was a demonstration that at any moment civilian infrastructure can be targeted and Ukraine sent back to the dark ages.

The fact that it happened now, and not 6 months ago at the beginning of the actions in Ukraine shows clearly that the Russian objective is not to destroy Ukraine. If they wanted to have done that they already would have done. Do you really think Ukraine would still have trains running, mobile phone networks operating and Zelensky hosting foreign leaders in Kiev if Russia was really carrying out mass industrialised warfare against it?

I don't know if people are aware, but most of the manpower on the Russian side from what I can tell has not been frontline regular troops, but mainly the separatist forces and effectively military contractors. They have been winning the slow meat grind due to the overwhelming backing of Russian artillery.

What I expect to see in the coming weeks will be referendums inside the Donetsk and Luhansk peoples republic, which will see them join the Russian Federation.

This is the point that the special military operation changes, as the Russians could then put military bases in those territories and will view an attack on those areas as an attack on Russia itself, at which point they may mobilise their regulars and declare war against Ukraine, which by association will be against the UK/US etc who took it to this point.

The whole thing from a geopolitic view appears to have been to create a wedge between Europe (especially Germany) and Russia, whilst destroying EU's reliance on Russian gas and the trade itself. The question to ask is who benefits? Not the Ukrainians that's for sure, and not the people of Britain/West either if energy prices are anything to go by...
it's nice to see you'd bend over and lube up if in the same situation :roll:

edit: the Russian spelling for Kharkiv was a nice touch... I take it you see it as Russian territory already?
Last edited by steamy on Wed Sep 21, 2022 7:50 am, edited 1 time in total.
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steamy
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Re: The Ukraine Situation

Post by steamy » Wed Sep 21, 2022 7:47 am

LotusDriver10 wrote:
Wed Sep 21, 2022 1:14 am
I think most people are under the impression that Ukraine was/is just a "Land Grab" by Russia - it certainly is not the case, if that was Putin's intention it would have been planned far longer and he would have amassed most of the countries frontline weapons and troops including his back ups - we would have seen massive deadly missile attacks over all of Ukraine killing Millions then he would have sent in Tens of Thousands of Tanks and armoured vehicles with possibly 750.000 to a million troops, and the whole of the country would have been flattened and taken in a few weeks. That is not what happened.

Also what about the videos and pictures coming out of Kiev showing people going about their lives normally or the videos of Russian troops handing food and other goods and dancing in the streets, that does not sound like a full scale invasion/take over to me.
mostly because they can't, not because they don't want to.... Russia have never had air superiority, so cannot conduct long range assaults in enemy territory to hold ground..
their alternative is attrition, this partial mobilisation shows they are losing, and the elections show they need a reason for more numbers..

it's a land grab
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steamy
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Re: The Ukraine Situation

Post by steamy » Wed Sep 21, 2022 7:48 am

plmc135 wrote:
Wed Sep 21, 2022 7:26 am
slogen51 wrote:
Tue Sep 20, 2022 10:07 pm
It is a bit late at night to think of a thoughtful reply but I have to say I don't agree with anything in the above post.

I think you are saying let the bully win because we can't afford the price?

I believe Ukrainian people will fight to the last man to save a scrap of Ukraine territory. If we don't help where will it end? Latvia or Estonia or perhaps Finland is there for the taking .

Oh yes what about the mass graves! Shall we just forget about them or Malaysian Flight 17 from Amsterdam?
I think you are forgetting the role of Ukraine in WW2. They were staunchly pro Nazi, Putin said at the beginning his aim was to de-nazify Ukraine, and were involved in many of the atrocities carried out at that time. Ukrainian PoW camp guards had a dreadful reputation.

I am not saying in any way that I support Putin but the past may make people realise why people in the Donbas and Crimea wish to be Russian rather than Ukrainian.
WW2 justifications, really scraping the barrel for excuses
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Alf
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Re: The Ukraine Situation

Post by Alf » Wed Sep 21, 2022 7:58 am

Agree, would Putin invade Germany because it was the Nazi homeland 80+ years ago?

cat1
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Re: The Ukraine Situation

Post by cat1 » Wed Sep 21, 2022 8:07 am

plmc135 wrote:
Wed Sep 21, 2022 7:26 am
slogen51 wrote:
Tue Sep 20, 2022 10:07 pm
It is a bit late at night to think of a thoughtful reply but I have to say I don't agree with anything in the above post.

I think you are saying let the bully win because we can't afford the price?

I believe Ukrainian people will fight to the last man to save a scrap of Ukraine territory. If we don't help where will it end? Latvia or Estonia or perhaps Finland is there for the taking .

Oh yes what about the mass graves! Shall we just forget about them or Malaysian Flight 17 from Amsterdam?
I think you are forgetting the role of Ukraine in WW2. They were staunchly pro Nazi, Putin said at the beginning his aim was to de-nazify Ukraine, and were involved in many of the atrocities carried out at that time. Ukrainian PoW camp guards had a dreadful reputation.

I am not saying in any way that I support Putin but the past may make people realise why people in the Donbas and Crimea wish to be Russian rather than Ukrainian.
right with you there.
before the war Ukraine were the one of the biggest arms trafficking's countries. now do we forget all that and just thow arms at them. this has got to end at some point, believe it or not, and id rather it didn't end with the black market sale of javelin missile systems :roll: (to be fair i doubt they would have any spare by the looks of it :D )
as discussed above there are other ways to sort this thing out than ship endless arms to them.
and a very naïve question: are they just taking this stuff or are they paying (brace for impact) :halo:

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steamy
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Re: The Ukraine Situation

Post by steamy » Wed Sep 21, 2022 8:48 am

cat1 wrote:
Wed Sep 21, 2022 8:07 am
plmc135 wrote:
Wed Sep 21, 2022 7:26 am
slogen51 wrote:
Tue Sep 20, 2022 10:07 pm
It is a bit late at night to think of a thoughtful reply but I have to say I don't agree with anything in the above post.

I think you are saying let the bully win because we can't afford the price?

I believe Ukrainian people will fight to the last man to save a scrap of Ukraine territory. If we don't help where will it end? Latvia or Estonia or perhaps Finland is there for the taking .

Oh yes what about the mass graves! Shall we just forget about them or Malaysian Flight 17 from Amsterdam?
I think you are forgetting the role of Ukraine in WW2. They were staunchly pro Nazi, Putin said at the beginning his aim was to de-nazify Ukraine, and were involved in many of the atrocities carried out at that time. Ukrainian PoW camp guards had a dreadful reputation.

I am not saying in any way that I support Putin but the past may make people realise why people in the Donbas and Crimea wish to be Russian rather than Ukrainian.
right with you there.
before the war Ukraine were the one of the biggest arms trafficking's countries. now do we forget all that and just thow arms at them. this has got to end at some point, believe it or not, and id rather it didn't end with the black market sale of javelin missile systems :roll: (to be fair i doubt they would have any spare by the looks of it :D )
as discussed above there are other ways to sort this thing out than ship endless arms to them.
and a very naïve question: are they just taking this stuff or are they paying (brace for impact) :halo:
any suggestions that haven't been attempted so far?
It's been demonstrated time and time again, de-escalation is not being heard by Russia.

It's military aid.
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Col Nago
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Re: The Ukraine Situation

Post by Col Nago » Wed Sep 21, 2022 8:28 pm

Today was pretty much the first official admission from Russia that they are losing in Ukraine. You don’t announce mobilisation of 300k reserves (of which they’ll never realistically manage) if you’re winning. They’re using ancient T-64 tanks, not because they’re keeping their best in reserve, but because they’re down to their dregs. They’re firing anti-ship missiles because they can’t get hold of semi-conductors to build new missiles. They’re losing aircraft daily now, because they’re being forced to fly into heavily contested areas which they’d stayed well away from because they have zero air superiority.

Hundreds of vehicles were abandoned intact in the last offensive. Hundreds of them! Not to mention thousands of shells. Ukraine now posses Russia’s very latest counter battery radar and an intact latest gen T-90 (Russia has a handful of both) which are now no doubt in NATO’s hands.

Russia is now in a panic.

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steamy
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Re: The Ukraine Situation

Post by steamy » Thu Sep 22, 2022 7:39 am

LotusDriver10 wrote:
Thu Sep 22, 2022 6:55 am
Azov bettalion still important in whats going on over there I understand - deeply rooted in Nazism.
yep, that valuable that they are releasing so called Nazi's from their de-nazification campaign :roll:
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Col Nago
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Re: The Ukraine Situation

Post by Col Nago » Thu Sep 22, 2022 9:31 am

Azov Regiment at the start of the war was a maximum of 2500 soldiers and mostly all based around the Mariupol districts.
Ukrainian Armed Forces at the start of the war - approx. 200k, plus another 100k in paramilitary / security forces.

So not even 1% of the active manpower used thus far during this conflict has been connected to the Azov Regiment, and, if you're not a tin foil hat Russian propaganda reader, you'll realise that the AR is not completely made up of screaming Nazi psychopaths. Yes, it's had right wing connections, there is absolutely no denying that, but it's been suggested that the vast majority of said no gooders had already moved towards another far more right wing party within Ukraine that's not even been able to generate enough backing to make any impact on Ukrainian politics - a bit like the EDL over here.

Mad Putin and his mad pals found a reason - no matter how tiny it actually was - to create this denazification mission a cause to invade Ukraine. If anyone needs denazification it's Russia.

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Re: The Ukraine Situation

Post by Col Nago » Thu Sep 22, 2022 9:41 am

Meanwhile the brave Russian people are trying to flee in their tens of thousands across any border they can get to in order to avoid conscription. There was a 35km queue to get into Finland yesterday afternoon. One particular photo showed an idiot hurriedly trying to scrape the Z symbol off the window of his rusting Volvo before he got to the checkpoint. They are brainless brainwashed mutants.

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Re: The Ukraine Situation

Post by Col Nago » Thu Sep 22, 2022 10:08 am

This gives a good idea of how Russia's war is going:

https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/a ... pment.html

Russian tank turrets are doing more air sorties than the Russian air force.

Sparts99
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Re: The Ukraine Situation

Post by Sparts99 » Thu Sep 22, 2022 10:54 am

Crikey that's a lot of kit to lose, these are the verified ones, how many are there that can't be proved? No wonder Putin is making desperate moves and people are leaving the country to avoid going to fight.
In this world there's two kinds of people, my friend. Those with loaded guns, and those who dig. You dig.

slogen51
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Re: The Ukraine Situation

Post by slogen51 » Thu Sep 22, 2022 1:10 pm

I am surprised that man hasn't ' slipped on a bathroom floor' or accidentally fallen from a balcony

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effects
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Re: The Ukraine Situation

Post by effects » Thu Sep 22, 2022 1:18 pm

LotusDriver10 wrote:
Wed Sep 21, 2022 1:14 am
I think most people are under the impression that Ukraine was/is just a "Land Grab" by Russia - it certainly is not the case, if that was Putin's intention it would have been planned far longer and he would have amassed most of the countries frontline weapons and troops including his back ups - we would have seen massive deadly missile attacks over all of Ukraine killing Millions then he would have sent in Tens of Thousands of Tanks and armoured vehicles with possibly 750.000 to a million troops, and the whole of the country would have been flattened and taken in a few weeks. That is not what happened.

Also what about the videos and pictures coming out of Kiev showing people going about their lives normally or the videos of Russian troops handing food and other goods and dancing in the streets, that does not sound like a full scale invasion/take over to me.
The VDV are( were) frontline troops as are their Guards regiments they are mostly gone, as for 'tens of thousands of tanks' they are scraping the barrel now with museum pieces.

Col Nago
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Re: The Ukraine Situation

Post by Col Nago » Thu Sep 22, 2022 1:52 pm

Indeed. The VDV essentially ended up just being an overhyped bunch of parade troops that were taken off the pitch by a well armed, well trained and very determined Ukrainian Army…and a bunch of nerds with Mavic drones!

It’s now set in stone that the estimated number of functioning soldiers, armour and aircraft was vastly out. God knows what stater the Navy is in.

Sparts99
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Re: The Ukraine Situation

Post by Sparts99 » Thu Sep 22, 2022 3:34 pm

Putin wants Ukraine but destroying it won't help him, it's a huge supplier of foodstuffs and has a lot of heavy industry, he'll want that intact, not a smoking desert that will be a drain on Russia's economy with a rebellious population.
In this world there's two kinds of people, my friend. Those with loaded guns, and those who dig. You dig.

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Re: The Ukraine Situation

Post by Blackcat1 » Thu Sep 22, 2022 4:07 pm

Too much vodka consumed I think 😳
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effects
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Re: The Ukraine Situation

Post by effects » Thu Sep 22, 2022 4:46 pm

All those years during the cold war spend fearing the Reds, we could've just gone on a massive pub crawl,.........oh wait a sec! 🤣

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